2030

50% chance of AGI

by the end of the decade

At Davos, Demis Hassabis, CEO of Google DeepMind and Nobel laureate in Chemistry, put the chance of artificial general intelligence by the end of the decade at 50%.

Forecast: Demis Hassabis, January 2026. Source: NBC News (2025)

Illustration: 50% chance of AGI — Illustration: lastday.at. This photo has not been taken yet.

See it on the timeline

lastday.at tells the story of the machines that gradually took over human work, from ancient Egypt to artificial intelligence, and counts down to the last day of work on Earth: March 20, 2030.

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